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Lithuania · A Lyga

20 Jun 2026 13:30 UTC

FK TRANSINVEST vs FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS

Final 1:2

FK Kauno Zalgiris won Last goal: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hideyasu Tanaka — FK TransINVEST

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Domantas Sluta (straight red) — FK TransINVEST
  2. ⚽ Franco Baldassarra — FK Kauno Zalgiris
  3. ⚽ Renan — FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FK Kauno Zalgiris
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 196 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
50 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
161 predictions

Match overview