← Back to matches

Lithuania · A Lyga

20 Jun 2026 15:30 UTC

BANGA GARGZDAI vs ZALGIRIS VILNIUS

Final 3:0

Banga Gargzdai won Last goal: Banga Gargzdai

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pamilerin Olugbogi — Banga Gargzdai

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rokas Filipavicius — Banga Gargzdai
  2. ⚽ Maksim Andrejev — Banga Gargzdai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Zalgiris Vilnius
90-minute result: Banga Gargzdai
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 196 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
118 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
161 predictions

Match overview