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Lithuania · A Lyga

20 Jun 2026 11:15 UTC

FK PANEVEZYS vs FA SIAULIAI

Final 3:2

FK Panevezys won Last goal: FA Siauliai

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kwadwo Asamoah — FK Panevezys
  2. ⚽ Oleksandr Kurtsev — FK Panevezys
  3. ⚽ Artem Baftalovskiy — FA Siauliai

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kwadwo Asamoah — FK Panevezys
  2. ⚽ Nedas Garbaliauskas — FA Siauliai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FK Panevezys
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 196 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
118 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
161 predictions

Match overview