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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

04 Jun 2026 01:00 UTC

SOUTH KOREA vs EL SALVADOR

Final 1:0

South Korea won Last goal: South Korea

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Dong-Gyeong Lee — South Korea

Model predictions were

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
No surprise
24%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
24%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 323 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 246 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
188 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
223 predictions

Match overview