← Back to matches

International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

03 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

GIBRALTAR vs BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

Final 4:0

Gibraltar won Last goal: Gibraltar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Johari Lacey (own goal) — Gibraltar
  2. James Scanlon — Gibraltar
  3. Leon Mason — Gibraltar

2nd half

  1. James Scanlon — Gibraltar

Model predictions were

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
24%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 316 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 246 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
188 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
223 predictions

Match overview