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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

03 Jun 2026 18:00 UTC

ALBANIA vs ISRAEL

Final 0:1

Israel won Last goal: Israel

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Oscar Gloukh — Israel

Model predictions were

49%

1X2

Israel

Result: Israel

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

64%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 316 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 246 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 0% (Weak)

Total 1.5 0% (Weak)

Total 2.5 0% (Weak)

Total 3.5 40% (Weak)

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)

188 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

124 predictions

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

193 predictions

Total 2.5 45% (Average)

113 predictions

Total 3.5 69% (Strong)

194 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

223 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Albania vs Israel after full time. The match ended 0-1 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. The model favored Israel with a marginal edge (49.2%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.8% of matches across a sample of 246 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 0% in a sample of 5 team involvements.

Most market calls were not confirmed by the final result in this fixture. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and did not match the outcome. Over 2.5 goals (47.8%) did not land, both teams to score (41.1%) was not confirmed.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

ALBANIA vs ISRAEL

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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