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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

02 Jun 2026 01:00 UTC

CANADA vs UZBEKISTAN

Final 2:0

Canada won Last goal: Canada

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Jonathan Osorio — Canada
⚽ Jayden Nelson — Canada

Model predictions were

35%

1X2

Draw

Result: Canada

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

41%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

64%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 311 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 240 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 29% (Weak)

Both teams to score 71% (Strong)

Total 1.5 36% (Weak)

Total 2.5 57% (Good)

Total 3.5 79% (Strong)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)

56 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

119 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

187 predictions

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

131 predictions

Total 3.5 69% (Strong)

189 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

218 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Canada vs Uzbekistan. The match ended 2-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to Draw with a weak indicator at 35.2%.

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.7% of matches across a sample of 240 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 71.4% in a sample of 14 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (41.1%) came in as a weak indicator and held up in the final outcome.

Both teams to score (41.1%) did not match the outcome. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

CANADA vs UZBEKISTAN

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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