← Back to matches

International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

01 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

BULGARIA vs MONTENEGRO

Final 0:1

Montenegro won Last goal: Montenegro

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Balsa Sekulic — Montenegro

Model predictions were

48%

1X2

Bulgaria

Result: Montenegro

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

48%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

20%

Score

3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 235 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 60% (Good)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 60% (Good)

Total 2.5 60% (Good)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 40% (Weak)

Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)

180 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

115 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

182 predictions

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

106 predictions

Total 3.5 29% (Weak)

49 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

214 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Bulgaria vs Montenegro after full time. The match ended 0-1 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. The model leaned toward Bulgaria with a low-confidence projection (48.4%).

The model’s main outcome call did not land. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.6% of matches across a sample of 235 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 60% in a sample of 5 team involvements.

Market-level signals were less accurate than expected in this specific match profile. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and did not land. Over 2.5 goals (47.8%) did not match the outcome, both teams to score (41.1%) did not land.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

BULGARIA vs MONTENEGRO

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

Related matches