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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

01 Jun 2026 17:30 UTC

TURKIYE vs NORTH MACEDONIA

Final 4:0

Turkiye won Last goal: Turkiye

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Orkun Kökçü — Turkiye
⚽ Can Uzun — Turkiye

2nd half

⚽ Deniz Gul — Turkiye
⚽ Baris Alper Yilmaz — Turkiye

Model predictions were

49%

1X2

North Macedonia

Result: Turkiye

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

64%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 235 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)

Both teams to score 75% (Strong)

Total 1.5 50% (Average)

Total 2.5 75% (Strong)

Total 3.5 75% (Strong)

Total 4.5 100% (Strong)

Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)

180 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

115 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

182 predictions

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

106 predictions

Total 3.5 69% (Strong)

186 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

214 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Turkiye vs North Macedonia. The match ended 4-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to North Macedonia with a marginal edge at 49.2%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) was identified as a strong signal and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) held up in the final outcome, both teams to score (41.1%) did not land. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.6% of matches across a sample of 235 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 75% in a sample of 4 team involvements.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

TURKIYE vs NORTH MACEDONIA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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