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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

01 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

SLOVAKIA vs MALTA

Final 2:1

Slovakia won Last goal: Slovakia

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Lukás Haraslín — Slovakia
⚽ Joseph Mbong — Malta

2nd half

⚽ Roland Galcik — Slovakia

Model predictions were

49%

1X2

Malta

Result: Slovakia

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

45%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 235 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)

Both teams to score 67% (Strong)

Total 1.5 100% (Strong)

Total 2.5 100% (Strong)

Total 3.5 100% (Strong)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)

180 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

115 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

182 predictions

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

106 predictions

Total 3.5 29% (Weak)

49 predictions

Total 4.5 14% (Weak)

21 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Slovakia vs Malta after full time. The match ended 2-1 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to Malta with a weak indicator at 49.2%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (41.1%) aligned with the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.6% of matches across a sample of 235 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 66.7% in a sample of 3 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

SLOVAKIA vs MALTA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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