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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

01 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

NORWAY vs SWEDEN

Final 3:1

Norway won Last goal: Sweden

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jørgen Strand Larsen — Norway
  2. ⚽ Antonio Nusa — Norway
  3. ⚽ Jørgen Strand Larsen — Norway

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alexander Isak — Sweden

Model predictions were

Off target
49%
1X2
Sweden
Result: Norway
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
50%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 12% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 235 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 50% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
186 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
214 predictions

Match overview

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