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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group B

31 May 2026 21:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO TACHIRA vs ESTUDIANTES MERIDA

Final 1:0

Deportivo Tachira won Last goal: Deportivo Tachira

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Jose Montilla (straight red) — Estudiantes Merida
  2. ⚽ Jairo Villalpando — Deportivo Tachira
  3. 🟥 Carlos Sosa (straight red) — Deportivo Tachira
  4. 🟥 Cristhian Rivas (straight red) — Estudiantes Merida

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Deportivo Tachira
90-minute result: Deportivo Tachira
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 197 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
113 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
170 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
191 predictions

Match overview