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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group A

30 May 2026 20:00 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD CENTRAL vs PORTUGUESA FC

Final 2:3

Portuguesa FC won Last goal: Universidad Central

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jonathan Cañete — Portuguesa FC
  2. ⚽ Jonathan Cañete — Portuguesa FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jovanny Bolívar — Universidad Central
  2. ⚽ David Linarez — Portuguesa FC
  3. ⚽ Samuel Sosa — Universidad Central

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Universidad Central
90-minute result: Portuguesa FC
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 196 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
146 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 37% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview