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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group B

24 May 2026 21:00 UTC

ESTUDIANTES MERIDA vs METROPOLITANOS FC

Final 0:1

Metropolitanos FC won Last goal: Metropolitanos FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 George Ayine (straight red) — Metropolitanos FC
  2. ⚽ Jean Gutiérrez (own goal) — Metropolitanos FC
  3. 🟥 Rafael Acosta (straight red) — Metropolitanos FC

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Ángelo Peña (straight red) — Estudiantes Merida
  2. 🟥 Luis Caicedo (straight red) — Estudiantes Merida

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Estudiantes Merida
90-minute result: Metropolitanos FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 194 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
145 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
188 predictions

Match overview