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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group A

23 May 2026 22:00 UTC

ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO vs UNIVERSIDAD CENTRAL

Final 2:1

Academia Puerto Cabello won Last goal: Academia Puerto Cabello

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kendrys Silva — Universidad Central
  2. ⚽ Daniel Saggiomo — Academia Puerto Cabello
  3. ⚽ Gerónimo Bortagaray — Academia Puerto Cabello

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Academia Puerto Cabello
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 217 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 192 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
47 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
126 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
128 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
165 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
186 predictions

Match overview