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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group B

24 May 2026 21:00 UTC

CARABOBO FC vs DEPORTIVO TACHIRA

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Deportivo Tachira

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Edson Castillo — Carabobo FC
  2. ⚽ Luis González (penalty) — Deportivo Tachira

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
17%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 194 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
49 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
188 predictions

Match overview