← Back to matches

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Belgian Pro League ECL Playoff

31 May 2026 16:30 UTC

GENT vs GENK

Final 1:1

Gent advanced Last goal: Gent

Match timeline

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Robin Mirisola — Genk
  2. 🟥 Josue Kongolo (2nd yellow) — Genk
  3. ⚽ Tibe De Vlieger (penalty) — Gent

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Gent
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Gent
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
61%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 309 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 304 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 76 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
234 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
175 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
236 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
229 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview