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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff Championship

21 May 2026 18:30 UTC

ANDERLECHT vs ST.TRUIDEN

Final 3:1 Almanac Moment

Anderlecht won Last goal: Anderlecht

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Danylo Sikan — Anderlecht
  2. ⚽ Danylo Sikan — Anderlecht

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Abdoulaye Sissako — St.Truiden
  2. ⚽ Adriano Bertaccini — Anderlecht

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
Favorite
29%
1X2
Anderlecht
90-minute result: Anderlecht
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 295 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
226 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
169 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
228 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
150 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
260 predictions

Match overview