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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff ECL grp. A

23 May 2026 18:45 UTC

STANDARD LIEGE vs SPORTING CHARLEROI

Final 0:2 Almanac Moment

Sporting Charleroi won Last goal: Sporting Charleroi

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jakob Napoleon Romsaas — Sporting Charleroi
  2. ⚽ Antoine Bernier — Sporting Charleroi
  3. 🟥 Mardochée Nzita (2nd yellow) — Sporting Charleroi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
Underdog
29%
1X2
Sporting Charleroi
90-minute result: Sporting Charleroi
Nice call
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
61%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 303 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 298 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
229 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
127 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
230 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
146 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
225 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
263 predictions

Match overview