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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff Championship

24 May 2026 16:30 UTC

ST.TRUIDEN vs KV MECHELEN

Final 3:0

St.Truiden won Last goal: St.Truiden

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Arbnor Muja — St.Truiden
  2. ⚽ Taiga Hata — St.Truiden

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Merlen — St.Truiden

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: St.Truiden
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 84 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 306 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 301 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
172 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
154 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
266 predictions

Match overview