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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff ECL grp. A

23 May 2026 18:45 UTC

OH LEUVEN vs GENK

Final 0:2

Genk won Last goal: Genk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Junya Ito — Genk
  2. ⚽ Ayumu Yokoyama — Genk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
41%
1X2
OH Leuven
90-minute result: Genk
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
61%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 92 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 303 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 298 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
229 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
171 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
230 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
152 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
225 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
263 predictions

Match overview