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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

31 May 2026 15:30 UTC

POLAND vs UKRAINE

Final 0:2

Ukraine won Last goal: Ukraine

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Roman Yaremchuk — Ukraine
  2. ⚽ Andrii Yarmolenko — Ukraine

Model predictions were

Solid call
49%
1X2
Ukraine
Result: Ukraine
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
24%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
169 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
175 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
203 predictions

Match overview

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