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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

31 May 2026 15:00 UTC

CAPE VERDE vs SERBIA

Final 3:0

Cape Verde won Last goal: Cape Verde

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Kevin Pina — Cape Verde

2nd half

⚽ Laros Duarte — Cape Verde
⚽ Gilson Benchimol — Cape Verde

Model predictions were

44%

1X2

Cape Verde

Result: Cape Verde

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

78%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

17%

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 50% (Average)

Total 2.5 83% (Strong)

Total 3.5 67% (Strong)

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)

169 predictions

Both teams to score 39% (Weak)

107 predictions

Total 1.5 66% (Strong)

173 predictions

Total 2.5 42% (Weak)

99 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

175 predictions

Total 4.5 84% (Strong)

203 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Cape Verde vs Serbia. The match ended 3-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to Cape Verde with a weak indicator at 43.6%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.6% of matches across a sample of 223 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 50% in a sample of 6 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) came in as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (47.8%) was identified as a weak indicator and held up in the final outcome.

Both teams to score (41.1%) did not match the outcome. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.