← Back to matches

Italy · Serie B · Serie B Promotion Playoff

29 May 2026 18:00 UTC

MONZA vs CATANZARO

Final 0:2

Catanzaro won Last goal: Catanzaro

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fellipe Jack — Catanzaro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ruggero Frosinini — Catanzaro

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Monza
90-minute result: Catanzaro
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 105 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 387 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 381 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
263 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
166 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
101 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
216 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
307 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
354 predictions

Match overview