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Italy · Serie B · Serie B Promotion Playoff

16 May 2026 18:00 UTC

JUVE STABIA vs MONZA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Monza

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nicola Mosti — Juve Stabia
  2. ⚽ Alvin Okoro — Juve Stabia
  3. ⚽ Andrea Carboni — Monza
  4. ⚽ Filippo Delli Carri — Monza

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Juve Stabia
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 381 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 375 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
259 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
162 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
212 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
303 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
350 predictions

Match overview