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Italy · Serie B · Serie B Relegation Playoff

22 May 2026 18:00 UTC

SUDTIROL vs BARI

Final 0:0 Almanac Moment

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 136 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 385 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 379 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
165 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
100 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
215 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
306 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
353 predictions

Match overview