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Italy · Serie B · Serie B Promotion Playoff

20 May 2026 18:00 UTC

PALERMO vs CATANZARO

Final 2:0

Palermo won Last goal: Palermo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joel Pohjanpalo — Palermo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rui Modesto — Palermo
  2. 🟥 Niccolò Pierozzi (straight red) — Palermo
  3. 🟥 Antonio Palumbo (straight red) — Palermo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Catanzaro
90-minute result: Palermo
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 384 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 378 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 76 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
261 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
164 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
278 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
163 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 4.5 24% (Weak)
25 predictions

Match overview