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England · League Two · League Two Playoff

25 May 2026 14:00 UTC

NOTTS CO. vs SALFORD CITY

Final 3:0

Top match Notts Co. won Last goal: Notts Co.

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alassana Jatta · assist Jodi Jones — Notts Co.
  2. ⚽ Lucas Ness · assist Rod McDonald — Notts Co.

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jodi Jones · assist Conor Grant — Notts Co.

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Notts Co.
90-minute result: Notts Co.
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 119 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 544 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 543 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 92 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
391 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
304 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
427 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
273 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
404 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
483 predictions

Match overview