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England · League Two

02 May 2026 14:00 UTC

NOTTS CO. vs BRISTOL ROVERS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Bristol Rovers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nick Tsaroulla — Notts Co.

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ellis Harrison · assist Tommy Leigh — Bristol Rovers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Bristol Rovers
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 528 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 527 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
379 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
294 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
413 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
265 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
133 predictions
Total 4.5 18% (Weak)
55 predictions

Match overview