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England · League Two · League Two Playoff

10 May 2026 14:00 UTC

GRIMSBY vs SALFORD CITY

Final 1:2

Top match Salford City won Last goal: Salford City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Reece Staunton — Grimsby
  2. ⚽ Kallum Cesay — Salford City
  3. ⚽ Adebola Oluwo · assist Luke Garbutt — Salford City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Grimsby
90-minute result: Salford City
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 118 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 540 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 539 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
388 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
301 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
424 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
271 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
401 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
479 predictions

Match overview