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England · League Two

02 May 2026 14:00 UTC

BARROW vs NEWPORT

Final 1:2

Newport won Last goal: Newport

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Charlie McCann — Barrow

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tom Davies · assist James Crole — Newport
  2. ⚽ Bobby Kamwa · assist Sven Sprangler — Newport

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Barrow
90-minute result: Newport
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
5:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+5; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 528 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 527 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 86 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
379 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
233 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
413 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
265 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
133 predictions
Total 4.5 18% (Weak)
55 predictions

Match overview