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Brazil · Serie B

24 May 2026 23:30 UTC

OPERARIO FERROVIARIO vs CRICIUMA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Criciuma

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marcelo Hermes — Criciuma
  2. ⚽ Matheus Trindade — Operario Ferroviario

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
37%
1X2
Operario Ferroviario
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 123 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 361 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
205 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
287 predictions

Match overview