← Back to matches

Brazil · Serie B

24 May 2026 19:00 UTC

ATLETICO GO vs SAO BERNARDO

Final 0:1

Sao Bernardo won Last goal: Sao Bernardo

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pablo Dyego — Sao Bernardo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Sao Bernardo
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 166 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 361 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 91% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
161 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
205 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
287 predictions

Match overview