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Brazil · Serie B

23 May 2026 21:30 UTC

FORTALEZA vs LONDRINA EC

Final 3:0

Fortaleza won Last goal: Fortaleza

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vitinho — Fortaleza

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luiz Fernando (penalty) — Fortaleza
  2. ⚽ Lucca Prior — Fortaleza

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Fortaleza
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 164 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 358 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
114 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
87 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
203 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
262 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
285 predictions

Match overview