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Brazil · Serie B

23 May 2026 23:30 UTC

JUVENTUDE vs SPORT RECIFE

Final 0:1

Sport Recife won Last goal: Sport Recife

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Iury Castilho — Sport Recife

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Sport Recife
90-minute result: Sport Recife
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
38%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 358 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 13 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 77% (Strong)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 38% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
207 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
9 predictions

Match overview