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Brazil · Serie B

24 May 2026 19:30 UTC

CRB vs PONTE PRETA

Final 4:2

CRB won Last goal: CRB

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ David da Hora — Ponte Preta
  2. ⚽ Élvis — Ponte Preta
  3. ⚽ Mikael — CRB

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mikael — CRB
  2. ⚽ Luiz Phellype — CRB
  3. ⚽ Luiz Phellype — CRB

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CRB
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 166 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 361 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 36 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
161 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
205 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
287 predictions

Match overview