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Azerbaijan · Premier League

24 May 2026 12:00 UTC

IMISLI FK vs KARVAN FK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Imisli FK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Peter Kings — Karvan FK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Diogo Cardoso — Imisli FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Imisli FK
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 198 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 196 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
142 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
56 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
109 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
154 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
181 predictions

Match overview