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Azerbaijan · Premier League

17 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ZIRA vs SUMQAYIT

Final 2:1

Zira won Last goal: Zira

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ruan Renato (penalty) — Zira
  2. ⚽ Alexandre Ramalingom — Sumqayit

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ruan Renato (penalty) — Zira

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Zira
90-minute result: Zira
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 191 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
136 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
176 predictions

Match overview