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Azerbaijan · Premier League

21 May 2026 14:30 UTC

FK QABALA vs SHAMAKHI FK

Final 3:1

FK Qabala won Last goal: FK Qabala

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Seydina Keita — FK Qabala
  2. ⚽ Karim Rossi — Shamakhi FK
  3. ⚽ Domi Massoumou — FK Qabala
  4. ⚽ Nijat Aliyev — FK Qabala

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
FK Qabala
90-minute result: FK Qabala
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 191 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
138 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
40 predictions
Total 4.5 15% (Weak)
13 predictions

Match overview