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Azerbaijan · Premier League

16 May 2026 13:00 UTC

SHAMAKHI FK vs TURAN TOVUZ

Final 3:2

Shamakhi FK won Last goal: Shamakhi FK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Arsen Agcabayov — Shamakhi FK
  2. ⚽ Diogo Balau — Shamakhi FK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ibrahima Wadji — Turan Tovuz
  2. ⚽ Álex Serrano — Turan Tovuz
  3. ⚽ Abdulla Rzayev — Shamakhi FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Shamakhi FK
90-minute result: Shamakhi FK
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 189 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 187 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 19% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
174 predictions

Match overview