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USA · Major League Soccer

24 May 2026 00:30 UTC

SPORTING KANSAS CITY vs RED BULL NEW YORK

Final 1:2

Red Bull New York won Last goal: Sporting Kansas City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jorge Ruvalcaba · assist Gustav Berggren — Red Bull New York
  2. ⚽ Jorge Ruvalcaba · assist Julian Hall — Red Bull New York

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Calvin Harris · assist Manu García — Sporting Kansas City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Sporting Kansas City
90-minute result: Red Bull New York
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 506 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 424 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
332 predictions
Both teams to score 34% (Weak)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
366 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
280 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
266 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
343 predictions

Match overview