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USA · Major League Soccer

24 May 2026 00:30 UTC

CHICAGO FIRE FC vs TORONTO FC

Final 2:1

Chicago Fire FC won Last goal: Chicago Fire FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Robin Lod · assist Maren Haile-Selassie — Chicago Fire FC
  2. ⚽ Josh Sargent · assist Alonso Coello — Toronto FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andrew Gutman · assist Philip Zinckernagel — Chicago Fire FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Chicago Fire FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 147 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 506 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 424 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
92 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
288 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
366 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
280 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
158 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
81 predictions

Match overview