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USA · Major League Soccer

23 May 2026 23:30 UTC

CHARLOTTE FC vs NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION

Final 1:0

Charlotte FC won Last goal: Charlotte FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Idan Toklomati · assist Will Cleary — Charlotte FC

2nd half

  1. 🟥 David Schnegg (2nd yellow) — Charlotte FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Charlotte FC
90-minute result: Charlotte FC
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 76 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 501 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 423 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
331 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
287 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
365 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
279 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
158 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
342 predictions

Match overview