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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

23 May 2026 17:00 UTC

KAHRBAA ISMAILIA vs AL MOKAWLOON AL ARAB

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Kahrbaa Ismailia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Omar El Wahsh (penalty) — Al Mokawloon Al Arab
  2. ⚽ Ali Sulieman — Kahrbaa Ismailia
  3. ⚽ Shokry Naguib — Al Mokawloon Al Arab

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Shika (penalty) — Kahrbaa Ismailia
  2. 🟥 Mohamed Hamed (2nd yellow) — Al Mokawloon Al Arab

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Al Mokawloon Al Arab
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 313 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 303 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
206 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
115 predictions
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
187 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
269 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
288 predictions

Match overview