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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

21 May 2026 17:00 UTC

WADI DEGLA FC vs ZED FC

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Wadi Degla FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Abdelrahman El Banouby — ZED FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ahmed Atef — ZED FC
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Ragab — Wadi Degla FC
  3. 🟥 Ahmed Dahroug (straight red) — Wadi Degla FC
  4. ⚽ Ali Hussein (penalty) — Wadi Degla FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Wadi Degla FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 310 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 300 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
203 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
185 predictions
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
186 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
266 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
285 predictions

Match overview