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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

22 May 2026 17:00 UTC

PHARCO FC vs NATIONAL BANK

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

National Bank won Last goal: National Bank

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Salah Bouchama — National Bank

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
National Bank
90-minute result: National Bank
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 311 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 301 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
186 predictions
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
209 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
286 predictions

Match overview