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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

22 May 2026 14:00 UTC

EL GOUNA FC vs TALA'EA EL GAISH

Final 2:1

El Gouna FC won Last goal: El Gouna FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yehia Mostafa — Tala'ea El Gaish

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marwan Mohsen (penalty) — El Gouna FC
  2. ⚽ Adham Karim — El Gouna FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
El Gouna FC
90-minute result: El Gouna FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 92 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 311 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 301 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
186 predictions
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
209 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
286 predictions

Match overview