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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

20 May 2026 17:00 UTC

AL MASRY SC vs AL AHLY SC

Final 0:2

Al Ahly SC won Last goal: Al Ahly SC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Trezeguet — Al Ahly SC
  2. 🟥 Yassin Marei (straight red) — Al Ahly SC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Trezeguet (penalty) — Al Ahly SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
Al Ahly SC
90-minute result: Al Ahly SC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 13% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 307 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 297 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
200 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
183 predictions
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
184 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
89 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
282 predictions

Match overview