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Spain · LaLiga

23 May 2026 19:00 UTC

GETAFE vs OSASUNA

Final 1:0

Top match Getafe won Last goal: Getafe

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luis Milla · assist Luis Vázquez — Getafe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
35%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Getafe
No surprise
38%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
91%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 105 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 365 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 367 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
94 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
191 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
269 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
341 predictions

Match overview