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Spain · LaLiga

23 May 2026 19:00 UTC

ESPANYOL vs REAL SOCIEDAD

Final 1:1

Top match Draw Last goal: Espanyol

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Orri Óskarsson · assist Sergio Gómez — Real Sociedad

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Roberto Fernández · assist Pere Milla — Espanyol

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
35%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
13%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
91%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 105 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 365 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 367 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
94 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
176 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
98 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
207 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
300 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
341 predictions

Match overview